At its Board meeting in Paris 3 May 2018, the Board reviewed the policy years for the Association and decided on release calls for the open years. At the Committee meeting 15 June 2018, the Committee made a recommendation to close the 2015 policy year.
Policy Year 2015
The Policy year 2015 has developed as per expectation and is in balance. The Board and the Committee decided to recommend to the Annual General Meeting to close the 2015 policy year without further calls.
Review of Open Policy years
Skuld will apply its internal risk model to calculate the risk of deterioration for each policy year. In contrast to Solvency II where the risk horizon is the next 12 months, the risk of deterioration is calculated for the full development of the individual policy year. The risk model takes into consideration:
- premium risk
- reserve risk
- market risk
- counterparty risk
- operational risk
Further, Skuld will apply the value at risk (VaR) with a confidence interval of 99.5% when assessing the risk of deterioration. For current policy years, all risk factors mentioned are relevant. For old policy years, only reserve risk, counterparty risk and operational risk are relevant.
Policy Year 2016
The Policy year is assessed according to the model described above and due to its maturity the relevant risks are reserve risk, counterparty risk and operational risk. The Board decided to maintain the release call at 3%.
Policy Year 2017
The Policy year is assessed according to the model described above and due to its medium maturity the relevant risks are reserve risk, counterparty risk and operational risk. The Board decided to set the release call to 7.5%.
Policy Year 2018
The Policy year is assessed according to the model described above and since this is the running Policy year all the risk factors above have been taken into consideration. The Board decided to set the release call to 15%.
Summary of Policy Years
2014: Closed
2015: Proposed to be closed by the AGM 6 September 2018. Release call 0%
2016: Release call maintained at 3%
2017: Release call set to 7.5%
2018: Release call set to 15%
Yours faithfully,
Ståle Hansen
President and CEO
Assuranceforeningen Skuld (Gjensidig)